SportsLine’s advanced computer model simulated Monday’s Kansas vs. Texas game 10,000 times.
The No. 3 Kansas Jayhawks look to extend their winning streak to seven games when they host the Texas Longhorns in a key Big 12 matchup on Monday. The Jayhawks (18-3), who are second in the conference at 7-1 and are one game behind Baylor, are 10-1 at home, while the Longhorns (14-7), who are tied for fourth with three teams at 4-4 in the conference, are 3-3 on the road. Tip-off from Allen Fieldhouse in Lawrence, Kan., is set for 9 p.m. ET.
Texas has won two straight and is coming off a 72-68 win over Iowa State on Saturday. The Jayhawks are 14.5-point favorites in the latest Kansas vs. Texas odds, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 129.5. Before making any Texas vs. Kansas picks, check out the college basketball predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has crushed its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread the past three years, returning $2,770 to $100 players. It also entered Week 13 of the 2019-20 season on a 22-13 run on all top-rated college basketball picks. Anybody who followed it during that span has seen some huge returns.
- Kansas vs. Texas spread: Kansas -14.5
- Kansas vs. Texas over-under: 129.5 points
- Kansas vs. Texas money line: Texas +840, Kansas -1501
- TEX: Is averaging 66.2 points per game
- KU: Is seventh in the nation in field goal percentage at 49.0
Why Kansas can cover
The Jayhawks are a perennial power and rarely lose against unranked opponents, going 16-0 this season against unranked (AP Poll) teams. Kansas has also had Texas’ number through the years and leads the all-time series 34-9 and is 17-1 against the Longhorns in games played in Lawrence, including 15-1 at Allen Fieldhouse. The Jayhawks have won 12 of the last 13 meetings with the lone loss coming at Texas. Kansas beat the Longhorns 66-57 at Texas on Jan. 18.
Sophomore guard Devon Dotson leads the Big 12 Conference in scoring at 18.2 points, including a 21-point performance on Saturday against Texas Tech, his seventh 20-point performance of the season. Dotson leads Kansas with 44 steals and is second on the team with 85 assists.
Why Texas can cover
Even so, the Jayhawks aren’t a lock to cover the Texas vs. Kansas spread. That’s because the Longhorns can shoot the deep ball and have knocked down 48.6 percent of their 3-pointers over the past two games. Defensively, Texas has held its first 21 opponents to an average of 63.6 points on a combined 41.8 percent field-goal shooting, including a 34.1 percentage from beyond the 3-point arc.
Offensively, Texas is led by junior guard Matt Coleman III, who is in his third year as the starting point guard. He has played and started all 92 games of his career and has reached double-digit scoring 48 times and topped 20 points seven times.
How to make Kansas vs. Texas picks
SportsLine’s model is leaning over on the total. In fact, it says Texas junior guard Andrew Jones will surpass his season average, while Kansas guard Isaiah Moss and center Udoka Azubuike will combine to score more than a point more than their average. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Texas vs. Kansas? And which side of the spread can you bank on in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Kansas vs. Texas spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $2,700 on its college basketball picks the last three years, and find out.
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