Asian shares stood near two-month highs on Wednesday as investors looked to President-elect Donald Trump’s news conference later in the day for any clues to his policies on tax, fiscal spending, international trade and currencies.
While his plan for tax cuts and infrastructure spending has boosted U.S. shares and the dollar, his protectionist statements have kept many investors on guard.
MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS was little changed in early Wednesday trade.
It stood at its two-month highs, essentially coming back to where it was just before the U.S. election after recovering from their losses of over five percent.
Japan’s Nikkei .N225 ticked up 0.2 percent.
On Wall Street, the S&P 500 .SPX ended flat on Tuesday, as investors look also to earnings season, which starts this week, to assess if the record levels are justified, following 5 percent gains since the election.
“There are underling expectations that Trump’s tax cuts and infrastructure spending will boost the U.S. economy, which should support markets,” said Masahiro Ichikawa, senior strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management.
“On the other hand, if he takes a hard line stance on China in line with his campaign promises, then China would probably take counter-measures, raising concerns about tensions between the U.S. and China,” he added.
Trump has vowed to label China a currency manipulator on his first day in office and has threatened to slap huge tariffs on imports from China.U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Paul Ryan and top members of President-elect Donald Trump’s transition team are discussing a controversial plan to tax imports.
Economists have warned that protectionist measures could stifle international trade and slow down global economic growth.
The Mexican peso MXN= is taking the brunt of such concerns, hitting a record low on Tuesday.
The peso has lost 16 percent of its value against the dollar since Trump was elected.
The U.S. currency lost some of its steam against most other currencies as U.S. bond yields have come down, reducing the dollar’s yield allure.
The U.S. 10-year yield stood at 2.38 percent US10YT=RR, having fallen considerably from its two-year high of 2.641 percent touched on Dec 15.
That pushed the dollar’s index against a basket of six major currencies .DXY =USD back to 102.03, compared to its 14-year high of 103.82 set on Jan 3.
The euro EUR= stood at $1.0556, having gained 0.2 percent so far this week. The dollar traded at 115.78 yen JPY=, not far from a three-week low of 115.06 touched on Jan. 6.
Bucking the trend was the British pound GBP=D4, which wobbled at $1.2175, having hit a 2 1/2-month low of $1.2107 on Tuesday, hit by UK Prime Minister Theresa May saying she was not interested in Britain keeping “bits” of its EU membership.
That fueled fears she was setting course for a “hard Brexit” in which immigration control is put above retaining access to the EU’s lucrative single market.
The Turkish lira TRYTOM=D3 also slumped to record lows, exceeding 4.0 to the euro for the first time as the country confronts Islamic State and Kurdish militant bombings, an economic slowdown, and political uncertainty over plans to extend President Tayyip Erdogan’s powers.
Oil prices fell to their lowest in nearly a month, following a 2 percent slide on Tuesday, as doubts mounted over whether producing countries could sustain a deal to cut output.
U.S. crude futures CLc1 traded at $50.97 a barrel, having fallen to $50.71 – their lowest since Dec 16.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 settled at $53.64 a barrel, down $1.30, on Tuesday.